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人口8000万人社会

ドイツ(8300万人)イタリア(6000万人)を見ながら。

車(産業)、サッカー(スポーツ)、音楽(クラシック)・文化(美術)、食(グルメ)が充実した社会。
社会保障もそこそこある。

そういう社会を目指す、あるいはAIの進化、DXの発展のよって成り立つ人口減社会。

ちょうどよい際が来る・・・と昔聞いたことがある。
逆に人口減しなくて今のままAI・DXが進むと職が奪われ、露頭に迷う人が増え、社会は一気に不安定になる。治安が悪化する。なのでバランスがとれるところで落ち着くという。

労働力として一時凌ぎで外国人活用、高齢者活用もあるだろうが、無一文でも安心できる老後を保障する方が少子化には有効で経済も回るという考え方もある(現世で金を使う)。老後が不安だからため込む(…国民の負担税額(社会保障含む)は47%を超える、北欧もたじろぐ高率。なのに北欧のような安定保障がない)。

目の前の「自治体間競争」を考えた時には、人口減は同じとして活力ある社会を維持するために「人口構成を変える政策誘導」が肝と考えている。つまり労働力のある若い世代の「率」「構成人口比率」を高める施策。

10年以上前から言ってるのだが、未来は見えない。


A society with a population of 80 million people

Looking at Germany (83 million people) and Italy (60 million people).

A society rich in cars (industry), soccer (sports), music (classical), culture (art), and food (gourmet). There is also some social security.

We are aiming for such a society, or a society with a declining population that will be realized through the evolution of AI and the development of DX.

I once heard that the right moment will come... On the other hand, if the population does not decrease and AI and DX continue to advance as they are now, jobs will be taken away, more people will become lost in the open, and society will suddenly become unstable. Public order deteriorates. So, he settles down to a place where he can find a balance.

Although there may be temporary use of foreigners or elderly people as a labor force, there is also the idea that guaranteeing a safe retirement even for penniless people is more effective in combating the declining birthrate and will also help the economy run (spending money in this world). . People save money because they are worried about their retirement (...the tax burden (including social security) for the people exceeds 47%, a high rate that even Scandinavian countries are concerned about. Yet, they do not have the same stable security as Scandinavia).

When considering the ``competition between local governments'' that is in front of us, I believe that ``policy guidance that changes the demographic composition'' is the key to maintaining a vibrant society, even though the population decline is the same. In other words, measures to increase the ``rate'' and ``population ratio'' of young people in the labor force.

I've been saying this for over 10 years, but I can't see the future.

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