2024/6/12 投資ネタ

UG
#MKC upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi at 69
-Q2の売上/EPSはｺﾝｾﾝｻｽ超
-見通しも上方修正期待
#META remains top pick at Citi following Reels ad load update
-ﾃﾞｼﾞﾀﾙ広告の強さは変わらず
-Reelsの広告ﾄﾗｯｶｰは160bp増加
-ｴﾝｹﾞｰｼﾞﾒﾝﾄ/広告主の増加/値上げでﾏﾈﾀｲｽﾞ可能
DG
#NEE downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho at 71
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
--成長見込は織込済
#LEN downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Zelman at 157.5
-受注の弱さ

earnings
#AVGO ＡＩ需要が収益を大きく押し上げ－株価急伸
〇:Q2売上・EPS・ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ/FY24売上・ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ
-株式分割(1-10)
個別株
#AAPL consensus iPhone unit forecasts 'too low,' says BofA
#MU Morgan Stanley reports that the DRAM memory chip industry is entering an "unprecedented super cycle" due to surging AI demand.
#ARM , #QCOM legal battle threaten to disrupt AI-powered PC wave, Reuters says
#AFRM pulled 'rabbit out of the hat' with Apple deal, says JPMorgan
#AFRM wallet partnership 'path worth following' by Block, says Morgan Stanley
-Apple Payの決済ｼｪｱは拡大
#CRM BofA Removes $CRM From Its US 1 List
#ARM #MSFT Exclusive: MediaTek designs Arm-based chip for Microsoft's AI laptops - Reuters
#SNOW security issues raise some concerns, says BofA
-ｻｲﾊﾞｰ攻撃発覚も影響は限定的
#GM BofA sees upside potential for GM and 'maybe even more to come'
-Q2はQ1より良い決算+ｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞも有
-EVの黒字化も今年達成見込み

$MSFT | OpenAI's annualized revenue has more than doubled to $3.4 billion since late 2023, according to CEO Sam Altman.
Nvidia $NVDA to hold its 2024 Annual Shareholder Meeting online on June 26th at 12 PM ET

TP関連
#ORCL price target raised by several firms
-新たなAIの勝ち組
--新規受注のﾄﾚﾝﾄﾞ/CSPﾊﾟｰﾄﾅｰｼｯﾌﾟ
--FY26のｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽもｺﾝｾﾝｻｽ以上
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝが悪化していくﾘｽｸ有
--AIﾄﾚｰﾆﾝｸﾞのﾏｰｼﾞﾝは良くない
#TSLA Citi sees scope for Tesla investor sentiment to improve
-週末の株主総会後は以下に再度焦点
--新商品・8/8のﾛﾎﾞﾀｸｼｰｱｯﾌﾟﾃﾞｰﾄ
-2Qの納車はUS/EUの弱い需要で予想以下
#META BMO Capital sees rising risk of free cash flow burn at Meta Platforms
-ｸﾘｴｰﾀｰへのﾎﾞｰﾅｽ増加
-TEMUのDL減少で成長鈍化
#TSM price target raised to NT$1,040 from NT$920 at BofA
-apple intelligenceの恩恵
#PEP price target lowered to $180 from $185 at Barclays
-Frito-Layの販売量を下方修正
-EPSｶﾞｲﾀﾞｳﾝｽは問題無
#CMA price target lowered by several firms
-預金流出でNII下方修正
-OCC規制でｺｽﾄが1%悪化
-ﾛｰﾝの伸び鈍化
#MTB price target raised to $164 from $152 at Piper Sandler
-NIIもわずかに上方修正
#DRI price target lowered to $175 from $180 at Morgan Stanley
-成長率鈍化とFY25のｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ引下見込
#HOG price target lowered to $34 from $36 at Citi
-1月の新型販売の恩恵はQ2には剥落
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝはｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ以下、EPSはﾚﾝｼﾞ下限見込
-在庫削減も必要
#UBER price target raised to $96 from $93 at Citi
-ﾏﾈｼﾞﾒﾝﾄﾐｰﾃｨﾝｸﾞ
--効果的な投資でGBVとEBITDA目標達成可能
--ﾄﾞﾗｲﾊﾞｰの増加により、乗客や使用頻度向上
#ODFL #SAIA #XPO price target lowered to $210 from $245 at Susquehanna
-ﾎﾞﾘｭｰﾑが予想以下
#SHW price target lowered to $360 from $377 at BMO Capital
-弱い塗装需要ﾃﾞｰﾀ
-長期的にはﾎﾟｼﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
--ﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞ/原材料下落/住宅関連需要回復

マクロ・債券
(米国)
US air travel (TSA total traveler throughput in million passengers - 7 day average) 7-day average 6.1% above 2019 level
Week of 6/7 MBA purchase index up 8.6%
Core
M/M: 0.2% (exp. 0.3%, prev. 0.3%)
Y/Y: 3.4% (exp. 3.5%, prev. 3.6%)
Headline
M/M: 0.0% (exp. 0.1%, prev. 0.3%)
Y/Y: 3.3% (exp. 3.4%, prev. 3.4%)

FOMC MEDIAN FORECAST SHOWS 25 BPS RATE CUTS IN '24 VS 75 BPS
FOMC MEDIAN FORECAST SHOWS 100 BPS RATE CUTS IN '25 VS 75 BPS
FOMC MEDIAN 2024 CORE PCE INFLATION EST. UP TO 2.8% VS. 2.6%
FED: INFLATION MADE MODEST FURTHER PROGRESS IN RECENT MONTHS
債券市場、年内の米利下げ２回の確信強める－タカ派気味ＦＲＢと乖離
(欧州)
Germany's May inflation rises to 2.8% on higher services prices - Reuters
ECB'S DE GUINDOS: THE DISINFLATIONARY PROCESS HAS BEEN QUITE PROFOUND.
(その他)
Annual CPI 0.3% [Est. 0.4% Prev. 0.1%]
Monthly CPI -0.1% [Est.0.0% Prev. 1.0%]
Annual PPI -1.4% [Est. -1.5% Prev. -2.5%]
Monthly PPI 0.2% [Prev. -0.2%]
Chinese semiconductor giant SMIC falls over 5% in Hong Kong, as the Biden administration is considering further restrictions on China's access to chip technology used for AI.
PBOC SUPPORTS STATE FIRMS TO BUY EXISTING HOMES & URGES EFFORTS TO SPEED UP REDUCING INVENTORY OF HOUSES.
New home sales in China's major cities fell 16% y/y in Dragon Boat Festival holiday despite policy easing - research
BOE TO HOLD RATES AT 5.25% ON JUNE 20TH MEETING, ACCORDING TO ALL 65 ECONOMISTS.
BOE TO CUT BANK RATE BY 25 BPS TO 5.00% IN AUGUST, ACCORDING TO 63 OF 65 ECONOMISTS, AND 2 SAID SEPTEMBER.
コモ
BREAKING: EIA CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES ACTUAL 3.730M (FORECAST -1.5M, PREVIOUS 1.233M)