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石炭消費量と再エネ設備容量の増加:2023年12月3日(日)

 2022年の世界のエネルギー消費量と温室効果ガス排出量は前年に比べて増加した。

 近年の特筆すべき世界のエネルギー需給の特徴は,石炭消費量の増加と再生可能エネルギー設備容量の増加が同時に起きていることである。再エネ依存度が上昇し,石炭依存度が低下するというトレード・オフが働いていれば,二酸化炭素(CO2)排出量に対して減少圧力が生じるが,石炭消費量も増加しているため,エネルギー消費起源のCO2排出量が増加している。

 石炭消費量は中国とインドで増加している。太陽光発電や風力発電などの再エネ設備容量導入と再エネ設備生産量は中国が突出して多い。つまり,世界規模で見ると,再エネを促進すればするほど,石炭消費量が増加して,CO2排出量が増加する仕組みがある。

 世界規模で見たエネルギー転換の炭素収支がプラスでは,一向にCO2排出量が減ることはないだろう。

Increase in Coal Consumption and Renewable Energy Capacity:December 3rd(Sunday)

The global energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in 2022 have increased compared to the previous year. A noteworthy trend in the recent global energy supply and demand is the simultaneous increase in coal consumption and renewable energy capacity. If there were a trade-off in which the dependence on renewable energy increases while the dependence on coal decreases, it would create pressure for a reduction in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. However, due to the concurrent increase in coal consumption, the CO2 emissions from the origin of energy consumption are on the rise.

The increase in coal consumption is particularly notable in China and India. China stands out in the introduction of renewable energy facilities such as solar and wind power, as well as in the production capacity of renewable energy facilities. In other words, on a global scale, the more we promote renewable energy, the more the consumption of coal increases, leading to an increase in CO2 emissions.

Considering the carbon balance of global energy transition on a large scale, as long as the balance remains positive, there seems to be no prospect of a decrease in CO2 emissions.