AIでシステムエンジニアやプログラマーの仕事は駆逐されるのか？

過去に論じたことがあるのだが、日数が経過したので再度この点について論じたいと思う。

AI、例えばChatGPTやGeminiは、もう現時点で、「Javaでｘｘのソースコードを書いて」と指示すると、ある程度のものは書けるようになっている。さすがに、長いソースコードは無理なようだが、短いものであれば問題ないレベルのものを作成してくる。こうなると、プログラマーやシステムエンジニアの仕事はなくなってしまうのか？と、不安になる人もいるだろう。

結論を言うが、「完全に無くなる」ことはない。そこは安心していいと思う。なぜならば、AIといえども、100%ではないからだ。希に間違った回答やソースコードの作成をすることがある。そのため、ベテランのエンジニアやプログラマーが、AIの成果物をチェックする必要があると考えている。

逆に言うと、ベテランや優秀なプログラマー以外は、数を減らしていく流れになると思う。

こうなると、かわいそうなのは、若いプログラマーだ。ベテランで優秀な人が品質管理担当になると、果たして、若い人は今後もプログラマーを続ける意味はあるのか？と不安になるだろう。

ちなみに、システムエンジニアとプログラマーの違いを説明しておきたい。システムエンジニアは、顧客の要求どおりに、設計書を作成し、プログラマーにコーディングを指示するのが役目だ。さすがに、今のAIは設計書は作成できないので、システムエンジニアの仕事は残るだろう。ただ、そのうち設計書も作れるようになるかもしれないので、いつまでも安泰だと考えないほうがいい。

AIが雇用を奪うのは、何もプログラマーだけではない。IT以外の、経理や銀行員など事務系職種の雇用も奪っていく。こちらも、ベテランで優秀な人は生き残れるが、スキルの低い人材は駆逐される可能性がある。SAPは自社のERPにAIを搭載すると発表した。今後は、経理事務も自動化されてしまう可能性がある。特に経理は、定型化された処理が多い。1年間分の処理内容を記録させれば、ある程度はSAPが自動で処理できると思う。銀行員も、融資判断をAIが実施できるようになるかもしれない。

Gemini

The Impact of AI on Jobs: A Comprehensive Analysis

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative force, revolutionizing industries and reshaping the global workforce. While AI's potential to enhance productivity and efficiency is undeniable, concerns about its impact on employment have become increasingly prominent. In this essay, we will delve into the multifaceted implications of AI on the job market, exploring both the potential job displacement and the emergence of new opportunities.

AI's Impact on Programming and System Engineering

The ability of AI to automate tasks has raised concerns about its potential to replace programmers and system engineers. While AI can indeed handle repetitive coding tasks, its capabilities are currently limited. AI systems often struggle with complex problem-solving, creativity, and adapting to new situations, skills that remain essential for human programmers.

However, AI's impact on programming and system engineering is not solely about job displacement. AI can augment human capabilities, enabling programmers to focus on more complex tasks, such as algorithm design and software architecture. AI can also assist system engineers in tasks like data analysis and system optimization.

The Evolving Role of Veterans and Young Professionals

The advent of AI necessitates a shift in the roles of both veteran and young professionals. Veteran programmers and system engineers can leverage their expertise to guide AI implementation, ensuring its effective integration into existing workflows. They can also play a crucial role in training AI models and evaluating their performance.

For young professionals, AI presents both challenges and opportunities. While they may face increased competition, AI also opens doors to new specializations, such as AI development, human-AI collaboration, and data science. Adaptability, continuous learning, and the ability to work seamlessly with AI will be critical for young professionals to thrive in this evolving landscape.

AI's Impact on Other Occupations

AI's influence extends beyond programming and system engineering, impacting a wide range of occupations. In the realm of finance, AI-powered algorithms are automating tasks like fraud detection and risk assessment, potentially affecting accountants and financial analysts. Similarly, AI is transforming the healthcare industry, with AI-powered diagnostic tools and virtual assistants potentially impacting the roles of radiologists and medical transcriptionists.

The Path Forward: Embracing AI for a Thriving Workforce

While AI presents challenges to certain occupations, it also creates new opportunities. The key lies in embracing AI as a tool to augment human capabilities, rather than viewing it as a replacement. By focusing on reskilling and upskilling initiatives, individuals can equip themselves with the skills required to navigate the AI-driven workforce.

Governments and educational institutions play a pivotal role in facilitating this transition. By investing in AI education and training programs, they can empower individuals to adapt to the changing demands of the labor market. Additionally, promoting lifelong learning and encouraging a culture of continuous skill development will be essential for a thriving workforce in the AI era.

Conclusion

AI's impact on the job market is multifaceted, presenting both challenges and opportunities. While some jobs may be automated, AI also opens doors to new specializations and enhances human capabilities. By embracing AI as a tool for collaboration rather than replacement, individuals, businesses, and governments can navigate this transformation and foster a workforce that thrives in the AI-driven era.

Additional Resources

• The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Employment: A Comprehensive Analysis

• AI and Jobs: What the Future Holds for Workers

• Reskilling and Upskilling for the Future of Work [無効な URL を削除しました]

ChatGPT

The Impact of AI on Employment: A Comprehensive Analysis

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming various industries, and its impact on employment is a topic of significant concern and debate. From programming to system engineering, and extending to administrative roles such as accounting and banking, AI's capabilities are reshaping job landscapes. This essay examines how AI technologies, like ChatGPT and Gemini, influence these fields and discusses the future of employment in the context of AI advancements.

AI in Programming and System Engineering

AI technologies, such as ChatGPT and Gemini, have demonstrated the ability to write code based on specific instructions. According to OpenAI, ChatGPT can generate functional snippets of code in languages like Java, Python, and others, albeit with limitations when it comes to more complex or lengthy programs . This capability raises concerns about the future of programmers and system engineers. However, while AI can assist in coding tasks, it is not infallible. AI-generated code can contain errors, necessitating the oversight of experienced programmers to ensure accuracy and functionality.

The role of system engineers, who create design specifications based on client requirements and guide programmers in implementation, is also evolving. Currently, AI lacks the sophistication to fully understand and translate complex business requirements into detailed design documents. This indicates that the job of system engineers remains secure for now. However, as AI progresses, it could potentially take on more of these responsibilities, suggesting that system engineers should not become complacent and should continue to develop their skills .

Challenges for Young Programmers

The rise of AI in programming creates a challenging environment for young programmers. With veteran programmers taking on the role of quality assurance and AI supervisors, entry-level positions might become scarcer. Young professionals may feel uncertain about their career prospects in a field increasingly dominated by AI-assisted tasks. It is crucial for emerging programmers to focus on developing unique skills that complement AI, such as creative problem-solving and understanding complex, high-level concepts that AI cannot easily replicate .

AI and Administrative Roles

AI's impact extends beyond programming to administrative jobs such as accounting and banking. For instance, SAP has integrated AI into its ERP systems, enabling automation of routine accounting tasks . This technology can process large volumes of transactional data, perform reconciliations, and generate financial reports, reducing the need for human intervention in these tasks. Similarly, in banking, AI can assist with credit risk assessment and loan approval processes by analyzing vast amounts of financial data more efficiently than human analysts .

The automation of these tasks does not necessarily spell doom for all administrative professionals. Instead, it emphasizes the need for upskilling. Professionals in these fields should focus on acquiring skills that AI cannot easily replicate, such as strategic decision-making, complex problem-solving, and interpersonal communication.

The Future of Employment in an AI-Driven World

AI's role in the workforce is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it offers opportunities for increased efficiency and productivity. On the other hand, it poses significant challenges, particularly for routine and entry-level jobs. The key to navigating this transition lies in adaptability and continuous learning.

Veteran professionals and those with advanced skills are likely to find new opportunities in overseeing AI systems, ensuring quality, and developing AI technologies further. Young professionals should be encouraged to pursue education and training in AI-related fields and focus on areas where human intuition and creativity are indispensable.

Conclusion

The integration of AI into various job sectors is inevitable and brings both challenges and opportunities. While AI can automate routine tasks and enhance productivity, it also necessitates a shift in the skills required for future employment. Programmers, system engineers, and administrative professionals must embrace lifelong learning and adaptability to thrive in an AI-driven world. By focusing on complementary skills and understanding the limitations of AI, the workforce can navigate this transformation successfully, ensuring that human creativity and intelligence remain at the forefront of technological advancement.

---

References:

1. OpenAI. (2023). ChatGPT: Advanced Capabilities and Applications.

2. TechRepublic. (2023). The Future of System Engineering with AI.

3. Harvard Business Review. (2023). Preparing Young Programmers for an AI-Dominated Future.

4. SAP. (2023). AI Integration in ERP Systems: Enhancing Efficiency.

5. Forbes. (2023). AI in Banking: Transforming Financial Services.