2024/7/2 投資ネタ

UG
#TEAM upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler
-Rule 52は達成可能かつ、Rule 50は安定的に達成可能
-企業はｸﾗｳﾄﾞ移行と投資を積極化
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝも魅力的
Susquehanna Upgrades $PYPL to Positive, with PT of $71
-収益性改善を重視する経営
-Braintreeのﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞ改善/SMBのｸﾛﾎﾞ決済ｻﾎﾟｰﾄ強化など
#BAC upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research at 48
-ﾛｰﾝのﾀｰﾝｵｰﾊﾞｰが改善し、利回り改善
-預金成長
-2026以降のNII改善期待
#CMA upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James at 60

DG
#GS downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Seaport Research
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
#CRWD downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
-ｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞｶﾀﾘｽﾄ事態は残存
#DHI downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi
#LEN downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi
-夏の新築需要悪化
-9月の利下げも織り込まれておりｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞｶﾀﾘｽﾄに欠ける
vs
-構造的な需給の追い風
-低ｱｾｯﾄﾓﾃﾞﾙ&堅確なBS
#LEN downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
-Q4のﾏｰｼﾞﾝｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ懸念
-ﾌﾛﾘﾀﾞのｴｸｽﾎﾟｰｼﾞｬｰ懸念
#PSTG downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS at 47
-成長率鈍化とﾏｰｹｯﾄｼｪｱ悪化
-ﾏﾙﾁﾌﾟﾙの拡大だけで株価上昇
--AI期待はｽﾄﾚｰｼﾞ需要の鈍化と共に剥落の可能性

earnings

個別株
#AMZN Amazon's international unit on track to report annual profit, FT reports
#TSLA produces over 411,000 vehicles and deliveres 444,000 vehicles in second quarter - SI
#SE SE dips after Indonesian unit accepts report of alleged antitrust breaches - report - SA
#NVO Biden Says Novo Nordisk (NVO) Must Cut Ozempic, Wegovy Prices - SI

PT関連
#NFLX price target raised to $767 from $660 at Argus
-広告ﾌﾟﾗﾝで成長再加速
-ﾊﾟｽﾜｰﾄﾞｼｪｱ防止も加入者増に貢献
-ｽﾎﾟｰﾂｺﾝﾃﾝﾂ増加も広告収入増を後押し
#WMT #COST price target raised at Stifel
-Scanner data:AMZN/COST/WMTが生鮮ｼｪｱ拡大中
#NKE price target lowered to $75 from $100 at RBC Capital
-FY25見通しを反映
-新戦略完了には数四半期かかるﾘｽｸ
#MCD price target lowered, Best Idea designation removed at Guggenheim
-Q2SSS成長率をｶｯﾄ
-2Hの売上成長率を持ち直せるかが問題
#CRWD price target raised to $440 from $380 at KeyBanc
-CIOｻｰﾍﾞｲ:昨年よりもIT投資ﾊﾞｼﾞｪｯﾄがやや増加
--2Hに投資偏重というﾌｨｰﾄﾞﾊﾞｯｸ
#NOW price target lowered to $920 from $950 at KeyBanc
-CIOｻｰﾍﾞｲ:昨年よりもIT投資ﾊﾞｼﾞｪｯﾄがやや増加
--2Hに投資偏重というﾌｨｰﾄﾞﾊﾞｯｸ
#DAL price target raised to $61 from $55 at TD Cowen
-良ﾏｰｼﾞﾝでﾋﾞｰﾄ期待
-Q3ｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽはｲﾝﾗｲﾝ予想
#SNPS #CDNS price target raised at Baird
-R&Dの増加に伴いEPS加速の手前
-新ﾊｰﾄﾞｳｪｱの買替サイクルに伴う需要増
#FSLR price target lowered to $307 from $344 at Baird
-Q2のASPとcost per wattを反映
#MPC #PARR #PBF #PSX #VLO PT lowered by JPM
-Q2/Q3のｸﾗｯｸｽﾌﾟﾚｯﾄﾞを反映
-ｶﾞｿﾘﾝ/ﾃﾞｨｰｾﾞﾙ在庫も例年並/需要増加の見通しもなし
#FOR #PHM #TOL PT lowered by Citi
-住宅市場の鈍化を反映
-在庫も増えてきている
#AFL #BHF #CRBG #EQH #LNC #MET #PRU #EGA
-生命保険業界の長期的見通しは暗い
-ﾘｽｸﾘﾜｰﾄﾞは悪くない位置
#ORLY price target lowered to $1,143 from $1,212 at Truist
-新車価格の下落で修理ｺｽﾄが相対的に増加
-低所得者層の可処分所得の悪化

マクロ・債券
(米国)

(欧州)
EUROZONE CPI MOM FLASH ACTUAL 0.2% (FORECAST 0.2%, PREVIOUS 0.2%)
EUROZONE CORE CPI YOY FLASH ACTUAL 2.9% (FORECAST 2.8%, PREVIOUS 2.9%)
Breakdown:
Services inflation came in stable at 4.1% y/y
Core goods at 0.66%y/y
Energy softened 0.2% y/y
Food slightly lower at 2.5% y/y
While there has been progress on energy and manufactured goods prices, services inflation remains far too high and wont come down with UE at secular lows driving wage growth >5%.
ＥＣＢの金利変更、事前に設定された道筋はない－デギンドス副総裁
Italy May Unemployment Rate 6.8% (est 6.9%, last 6.8% from 6.9%)
(その他)
ZELENSKIY: CEASEFIRE COULD HELP SPEED UP NEGOTIATIONS WITH RUSSIA
コモ
Oil rises to two-month high on summer demand outlook and supply fears - Reuters
OPEC OIL OUTPUT IN JUNE UP BY 70,000 BPD FROM MAY TO 26.70 MILLION BPD, INCREASES FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE MONTH - SURVEY.