2024/6/13 投資ネタ

UG
#MSFT Jefferies names Microsoft a top pick with a $550 PT, saying $MSFT is “going for AI gold.”
-Capexは将来のスケールメリットに直結
-AzureはAIの恩恵で成長継続
#ULTA Oppenheimer adds Ulta Beauty shares back to top pick status
-新商品のお陰で売上不悪
-2Hにも新商品有
-370-475レンジ見立てでRRが良い
#MMM Wolfe Research upgraded 3M to Outperform from Peer Perform with a PT of $125.
-経営陣の手腕を評価
-20bln超の負債はバリュエーションに反映済
#KMB upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA at 160
-ボリュームが増加に転じる

DG
#HOOD CITI REITERATED A SELL RATING ON HOOD BUT RAISED THE PT TO $18 FROM $16
-バリュエーションが高すぎる
--取引量が減少するリスク織込みが無
-TP引上げ部分
--販促による預かり資産増加
--マージンレート引下げによるマージンローンの増加
#ROP downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
-バリュエーション
#GLW downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley at 38
-バリュエーション
-FY24のアップサイドは見ている
-長期的なメガトレンドへのエクスポージャーも〇

earnings
#ADBE shares soar 15% on better-than-expected results
〇:Q2EPS・売上/FY24EPSg
△:FY24売上g

個別株
#AXP earnings estimates lowered at BTIG
-高所得者層の消費やローンも鈍化
--鈍化自体は予測していたが加速
#NVO #LLY Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan will drop coverage of GLP-1 obesity drugs for certain plans starting Jan, citing concerns over cost, safety, & efficacy.
#TSLA We expect to "INCREASE" the price for the Model 3 from July 1, 2024, for vehicles made in China and sold in the EU due to forthcoming tariffs.
#TSLA Tesla jumps after Musk says pay package passing by 'wide margin'
#TSLA Wedbush says Musk comp package approval removes $20-$25 overhang on Tesla stock
#AFRM Mizuho survey shows Apple Pay users favor Affirm
-apple payユーザーの多くがAffirmユーザー
#AN #KMX Current used car market favors AutoNation over CarMax, says BofA
-チャネルチェック:中古車市場は厳しいまま
--特に旧型については厳しい
AN
-新車のペントアップ需要の恩恵
-資本還元強化余地
KMX
-中古販売台数が伸びない
-販売台数増によるレバが効かず、コストを打ち返せない
#BA Boeing probing new quality issue with 787 Dreamliner, Reuters reports
#NFLX Netflix hunts for a production partner for its Christmas NFL games
#HUM #CI #CNC #ELV Medicare Will Recalculate Quality Ratings of Medicare Advantage Plans
#ON SEMICONDUCTOR TO CUT GLOBAL WORKFORCE BY ABOUT 1,000
#TSLA SHAREHOLDERS HAVE OFFICIALLY APPROVED ELON MUSK'S $56 BILLION DOLLAR PAY PACKAGE

TP関連
#AVGO price target raised to $2,000 from $1,500 at Barclays
-FY24の売上上方修正
--AIの恩恵/プロダクトサイクル・多様化
--VMWareのオンプレミスでAIを使えるアップセルも牽引
-非AI関連ネットワークがボトムアウト
vs
-AIのQoQ35%成長は維持できない
#BA price target raised to $200 from $180 at BofA
-2024の下方リスクは後退
--緩やかなcash burn/飛行機需要の底堅さ
#SLG price target raised to $37 from $31 at Citi
-Q1決算を受けてモデルをアップデート
-オフィスリートは構造的な重石が残る
-リファイナンスリスクも残存
#DRI price target lowered by several firms
-SSS見通し下方修正
-広告費などの増加
vs
-原材料/人件費の低下
#NUE #STLD price target lowered at Seaport Research
-Q2に入るファンダメが悪化

マクロ・債券
(米国)
PPI
Core
M/M: 0.0% (exp. 0.3%, prev. 0.5%)
Y/Y: 2.3% (exp. 2.4%, prev. 2.4%)
Headline
M/M: -0.2% (exp. 0.1%, prev. 0.5%)
Y/Y: 2.2% (exp. 2.5%, prev. 2.2%)
US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 242K (FORECAST 225K, PREVIOUS 229K)
US CONTINUED JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 1.820M (FORECAST 1.795M, PREVIOUS 1.792M)
Redfin Reports U.S. Home Prices Hit Another Record High, But Mortgage Rates Are Starting to Decline—Which Could Give Buyers Relief
30-Year Bond Auction Details:
— High Yield: 4.403% (prev 4.635%)
— When-Issued: 4.418%
(欧州)
ECB金利、恐らく当面は平均を上回る必要-エストニア中銀総裁
ECB Case for Rate Caution Mounts After Fed Pares Back Easing Plans
(その他)
Mexico’s peso gained after the country paid off a dollar bond due next year in a bid to calm a market selloff.
BOC'S KOZICKI: THE BAR FOR US TO USE QE AGAIN IS VERY HIGH.
コモ

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