2024/9/4 投資ネタ

UG
#SG TD Cowen Upgradesto Buy, Raises PT to $43 from $31
-2025SSS上振れ見通し
-Infinite Kitchensでﾏｰｼﾞﾝ拡大が続く
#BALL upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley at 78
-飲料缶の成長恩恵
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ改善
--中期的な成長力が過小評価
#AA upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research at 36
-ｱﾙﾐﾅの見通し改善
#FCX upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS at 54
-銅の将来的需要は強いまま
--下落でﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝの改善
#NDAQ double upgraded to Buy at BofA with IPO flywheel returning at 90
-IPOが選挙後に回復

DG
#ASML UBS Downgrades $ASML to Neutral, Lowers PT to EUR900 from EUR1,050
-2025からEPS成長が13%CAGR from 24%CAGRまで減速
-2026/27のEBIT下振れﾘｽｸ
--ﾘｿｸﾞﾗﾌｨｰへの投資減少
--AIｴｯｼﾞの恩恵は少ない
--中国向けのﾘｿｸﾞﾗﾌｨｰの販売減
#BKNG downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies at 4200
-宿泊予約数成長率の維持がさらに鈍化
--2Hのｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ/7月の弱さよりも悪化
#ABNB downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
-宿泊者数成長率鈍化
-競争激化/需要減/長期滞在者減/ﾏｰｹﾃｨﾝｸﾞ増加
#SMCI Barclays Downgrades $SMCI to Equalweight, Lowers PT to $438 from $693
-AIｻｰﾊﾞｰの粗利益率ﾄﾚﾝﾄﾞの可視性不透明
-競争激化
-GB200で増資が必要な可能性
#APH downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA
-ﾁｬﾈﾙﾁｪｯｸ:GB200固有の問題でｼｪｱ喪失
--NVL36 or 72への納入数減

earnings
#DKS
〇:Q2売上・EPS
×:FY25売上・EPS
-SSS 客足+/単価+
#HRL
#DLTR
×:Q2売上・EPS/FY25売上・EPS
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝは拡大
-中・高所得者層の購買行動悪化
#CPRT
#HPE
#AI

個別株
#INTC ELIGIBILITY FOR CHIPS ACT FUNDS IN JEOPARDY
#BA BOEING 737 MAX DELIVERIES TO CHINA AT HIGHEST SINCE 2018
#JWN NORDSTROM FAMILY OFFERS $23 PER SHARE IN BUYOUT PROPOSAL

TP関連
#AAPL price target raised to $236 from $190 at UBS
-8月のApp Store売上成長率は12%YoYで7月から加速
-9～12月までのApp Storeのcompは厳しい
#MSFT added to 'Signature Picks' list at Wells Fargo
-ｸﾗｳﾄﾞでｼｪｱ拡大継続
-AIのﾌﾟﾛﾀﾞｸﾄｻｲｸﾙの恩恵もある
#WMT price target raised to $90 from $85 at Jefferies
-生鮮/一般消費財でｼｪｱ拡大

#ADBE price target raised by several firms
-Dynamic MediaのARRに上振れ余地有
-営業戦略も奏功
#ADBE added to 'Signature Picks' list as AI winner at Wells Fargo
-ｿﾌﾄｳｪｱのAI銘柄
--Fireflyは2Hから収益貢献
-10月のMAX conference期待
#ABNB price target lowered to $120 from $125 at Jefferies
-宿泊予約数成長率の維持がさらに鈍化
--2Hのｶﾞｲﾀﾞﾝｽ/7月の弱さよりも悪化
#ZS PT lowered by several firms
-1Hのbillingの見通しが弱い
--ﾏｸﾛ環境が重石
#WYNN #MGM #LVS #CZR PT lowered by MS
-ﾗｽﾍﾞｶﾞｽのﾄﾚﾝﾄﾞ悪化
-地域ｶｼﾞﾉの鈍化継続
-ﾏｶｵの成長頭打ち

マクロ・債券
(米国)

(欧州)
EUROZONE PPI YOY ACTUAL -2.1% (FORECAST -2.5%, PREVIOUS -3.2%)
(その他)
中国、住宅ローン金利を２段階で引き下げることを検討－関係者
コモ
OPEC+ ARE DISCUSSING A DELAY TO THE PLANNED OIL OUTPUT HIKE IN OCTOBER - THREE OPEC+ SOURCES