2024/8/27 投資ネタ

UG
#CLF upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research at 16.5
-鉄鋼価格のｻｲｸﾙ/供給減を反映

DG
#HSY Citi Downgrades to "Sell" from Neutral, Lowers PT to $182 from $195
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ悪化懸念
--MSDの値上げはｶｶｵｲﾝﾌﾚを相殺できない
--値上げによる価格弾力性の悪化も懸念
-小売店での販売減少
#NOC downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Alembic Global at 560

earnings
#S
〇:Q2売上・EPS/FY25売上
×:Q3売上
#PVH
〇:Q2EPS/FY25EPS
×:Q2売上・ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ/Q3EPS
-北米が予想に届かず
-中国も軟調
-DTC/卸売どちらも鈍化
-在庫も予想ほど減らず
#JWN
〇:Q2売上・EPS・EBITDA/FY25EPS
×:
-SSS +1.9%

個別株
#AAPL IS BETTING BIG ON UPCOMING HIGH-END IPHONE 16 MODELS
-90.1MM台のiphone 16を2Hに出荷予定
-high endで67%を締める
#CAVA Artal files to sell 6M shares
Buy now pay later company Klarna is aiming to axe almost half of its workforce & implement AI

TP関連
#AAPL BofA Reiterates Buy Rating on $AAPL, with PT of $256
-複数年のiphoneの買替ｻｲｸﾙ需要
--portable phoneでAIのｷｬﾊﾟも拡大可能
-ﾏｰｼﾞﾝ/FCF拡大
#AAPL No better time for CFO change at Apple than now, says Melius
-iOS移行を前に最良のﾀｲﾐﾝｸﾞ
#AAPL Morgan Stanley says Apple's well-telegraphed CFO plan should provide confidence
-内部の移行かつよく練られているので問題なし
#AAPL JPMorgan says investors will be 'mildly disappointed' with Apple CFO change
-PT265/Buy維持
-Lucaのﾘｰﾀﾞｰｼｯﾌﾟは評価されていたのでやや失望的な発表
#AAPL CFO change 'modest negative' for shares, says KeyBanc
-株価にはややﾈｶﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
--計画的交代なので混乱は限定的
#AAPL Citi views Apple CFO change as a 'bit negative'
-Lucaはﾏｰｼﾞﾝ7%拡大に貢献
-投資家からも信頼されていた
#AAPL Apple CFO change creates 'some level of uncertainty,' says Piper Sandler
-内部の交代なので移行はｽﾑｰｽﾞ
-不透明感は生まれる
-PT 225/Neutral維持
#AAPL Apple CFO 'leaves big shoes to fill,' says Evercore ISI
-Lucaの穴は大きいが、代替可能なはず
#NVDA Truist Securities on $NVDA (Buy; PT: $145 from 140)
-NVDAのﾋﾞｼﾞﾈｽﾄﾚﾝﾄﾞは改善中
-AI投資増で見通し引上げ
#NFLX Evercore ISI Raises PT on $NFLX to $750 from $710
-ﾁｬﾈﾙﾁｪｯｸ:好調
-2025EPSにMSDの上振れ余地有
--$2の値上げで更に上振れ
#CRM Barclays sees 'muted share response' to Salesforce Q2 report
-reseller調査がﾈｶﾞﾃｨﾌﾞ
#PDD price target lowered by several firms
-経営の慎重目線が重石
--競争激化対応でｺｽﾄ増
#DGX price target raised to $154 from $144 at Barclays
-LifeLabs買収完了で見通し引上げ
#AFRM could see GAAP profitability by Q4 of 2025, says Mizuho
-2025 Q4に黒字化達成可能
--ﾜﾗﾝﾄ費用負担の低下/低金利/BNPLの拡大
--Apple Payへの導入で更なるｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞ有
#MP price target lowered to $19 from $20 at Canaccord
-NdpRの価格を反映
#ULTA price target lowered to $500 from $522 at Canaccord
-米での化粧品需要の鈍化
-QoQで販促増加
--競争激化
#CPB Campbell Soup's Q4 to refect continued Snacks headwinds, says RBC Capital
-Q3はまだｽﾅｯｸ関連が不調のはず
-焦点はFY25の見通し
#TOL price target raised to $148 from $120 at Wedbush
-購買層が増加
-金利低下の恩恵

マクロ・債券
(米国)
Kamala Harris’s Tax Increases and Cuts Take Shape - WSJ
Trump budget would spike deficits by nearly 5 times Harris proposal, says Penn Wharton
US REDBOOK YOY ACTUAL 5.0% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 4.9%)
US HOUSE PRICE INDEX YOY ACTUAL 5.1% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 5.7% ,REVISION 5.9%)
Case Shiller 20 City composite 0.42% MoM, Exp. 0.3%; up 6.47% YoY
U.S RICHMOND MANUFACTURING INDEX (AUG) ACTUAL: -19 VS -17 PREVIOUS; EST -14
U.S CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (AUG) ACTUAL: 103.3 VS 100.3 PREVIOUS; EST 100.8
US 2-YEAR NOTE HIGH YIELD ACTUAL 3.874% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 4.434%)
(欧州)
９月のＥＣＢ利下げ、判断にはさらなるデータが必要－クノット氏
(その他)
JAPANESE SERVICE PPI ACTUAL 2.8% (FORECAST 2.9%, PREVIOUS 3.0%)
CHINESE INDUSTRIAL PROFIT YTD ACTUAL 3.6% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 3.5%)
HONG KONG IMPORTS ACTUAL 9.9% (FORECAST 10.4%, PREVIOUS 9.0%)
HONG KONG EXPORTS ACTUAL 13.1% (FORECAST 11%, PREVIOUS 10.7%)
UK'S PM STARMER: THE BUDGET COMING IN OCTOBER WILL BE PAINFUL.
コモ
TWO OILFIELDS IN SOUTHEAST LIBYA SHUT DOWN, ANOTHER OILFIELD REDUCED PRODUCTION TO LOWEST CAPACITY - ENGINEERS.
IRAN'S SUPREME LEADER INFORMS GOVERNMENT OF POSSIBILITY OF RESUMING NEGOTIATIONS WITH US ON NUCLEAR PROGRAM
US API CRUDE OIL STOCK CHANGE ACTUAL -3.4M (FORECAST -3M, PREVIOUS 0.347M)