stock traders almanac

Jan's first five days ↑ ---> full-year gain (+14% average)

Jan ↑ ---> full-year gain (more than 80% accuracy)

Jan ↓ ---> bear or flat year (-13% average)

post-election and midterm year performance << pre-election and election year performance

we are now in the sweet spot!!

Summertime slow down (summertime trading lull)
low daily volume, Jul + Aug 
difficult to sell stocks at a good price

Dow and S&P best months
Nov - Apr
Apr > Nov, Dec > Jan

Nasdaq best months
Nov - Jun
Jan > Apr, Nov, Dec

the opening month of 1 - 3Q produces the greatest gains
---> Jan, Apr, and Jul tend to produce gains

Down Friday Down Monday (DF/DM) occurs during a bear market

The last 3 days + first 2 days + middle 3 days (10, 11, 12) of the month are best for trading (trading days 1 - 21)

Correction is severe in Fall(-8.8%) > Summer (-8.4%)

Dow ↑ on the first trading day of the month

Triple Witch Week(TWW)
stock options, index options, and index futures all expire at the same time
Down weeks tend to follow Down TWW

Small-cap stocks tend to outperform big-caps in Dec and Jan

Santa Claus rally: last five days of the year and first 2 days in Jan

performance on Mondays in a bear market is the worst