Development: 資料集 - Athletic Score
Most running back drills are overvalued by teams in the draft (blue), but there is significant signal in three-cone times for NFL value (red), mostly related to receiving.
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) February 28, 2023
Top-10 historical combine projections include Christian McCaffrey, Le'Veon Bell and David Johnson pic.twitter.com/ltKmdx4odu
NFL teams are very into drafting big/fast WRs (blue). Those traits are correlated with NFL value according to my Plus/Minus metric (red), but to a lesser degree.
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) February 28, 2023
Top-10 historical projections include DK Metcalf and Julio Jones, but also Justin Hunter and Jalen Reagor pic.twitter.com/T1Bk3v0l0I
Findings confirm what @JoshNorris and others have pointed to as one of the biggest Combine signals: the short shuttle at interior OL.
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) February 28, 2023
Linemen w/ weight-adjusted agility like Jason Kelce and Chase Roullier found success in the NFL, despite lower draft positions pic.twitter.com/SpaiXcxCvZ
NFL success for Interior defenders (red) is highly correlated with strong three-cone times, and negatively correlated with weight.
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) March 1, 2023
J.J. Watt has the best historical projection, and he added over a win (roughly 30 points) per season during his first four years in the NFL pic.twitter.com/SjqMxfcf7y
For edge rushers, teams probably overvalue long speed (40), while short-area speed (10), vertical and agility are undervalued pic.twitter.com/FHWHDhKdEU
— Kevin Cole (@KevinCole___) March 1, 2023
On the offensive side of the ball; quarterbacks, tackles and tight ends increase their draft stock the most through events like the combine and pro days.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) March 4, 2023
With quarterbacks testing today, who should we expect to rise on draft boards? pic.twitter.com/891ZGby1tO
RAS has a strong relationship with an offensive tackles' draft stock. However, tackle production based on these scores is comparative to interior linemen and running backs.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) March 4, 2023
Not only is the 40 a bad event to judge WRs but also their RAS has no correlation to NFL performance. pic.twitter.com/gUiuRkDAwf
How does a defensive player's RAS compare with the pick they're taken in the draft? Since 2011, strong safety, cornerback and defensive end have the highest correlation.
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) March 3, 2023
This does not include players drafted that did not test at the combine. pic.twitter.com/lw13UtbQt0
What is RAS' relationship with the approximate value on a defender's rookie contract?
— Steven Patton (@PattonAnalytics) March 3, 2023
Edge rusher's RAS correlates well with on the field performance comparatively to other positions. Defensive tackles are on the opposite side of the spectrum.https://t.co/eTVkvKbxnB pic.twitter.com/9gTBBmyc5B
The 40-times at this year's #NFLCombine were NOT juiced, nor was there any big change in the technology.
— Joshua "Bud" Davis, PhD (@JBudDavis) March 9, 2022
We're really just seeing a perfect example of selection bias
data:@nflfastR #nflverse pic.twitter.com/VI1D5kNqiO
how much each team values athleticism in the draft by looking at the average raw athletic score (RAS) of each of their draft picks since 2015 pic.twitter.com/wjo1OLaSEN
— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) May 31, 2022
With the NFL Combine right around the corner, we can take a look at the fastest 40 yard dash times ran throughout the history of the event pic.twitter.com/TQuH2NmcgL
— SumerSports (@SumerSports) February 22, 2023