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Israel & Iran: What gets them at war?

The possibility of an all-out war between Israel and Iran is a subject of ongoing concern, but it remains difficult to predict with certainty. However, tensions between the two countries have been consistently high due to several factors:

1. Iran’s Nuclear Program: Israel perceives Iran’s nuclear program as a direct threat to its existence. Iran maintains that its program is for peaceful purposes, but Israel and its allies, especially the U.S., believe that Iran aims to develop nuclear weapons. Israel has repeatedly stated it will not allow Iran to become a nuclear-armed state, even resorting to military force if necessary.

2. Regional Proxies and Influence: Both countries are involved in a regional power struggle, often supporting opposing sides in Middle Eastern conflicts. Iran backs groups hostile to Israel, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and militias in Syria. Israel frequently conducts airstrikes in Syria, targeting Iranian weapons shipments and military assets. This proxy conflict has escalated tensions but has so far been contained to indirect engagements.

3. Israel-Hamas Conflict: Iran’s support for Hamas in Gaza is another flashpoint. If hostilities between Israel and Palestinian factions escalate, there’s a possibility that Iran could be drawn in, especially through Hezbollah or other proxies. However, Iran’s direct involvement in such a conflict would likely provoke significant retaliation from Israel.

4. U.S. and International Involvement: The U.S. plays a key role as Israel’s main ally and a major adversary of Iran. A U.S.-Iran conflict, or failure of diplomatic efforts (such as nuclear negotiations), could indirectly heighten the risk of war between Israel and Iran.

While both countries have engaged in covert actions, cyberattacks, and proxy warfare, they have so far avoided a direct confrontation. The risks of an all-out war remain high but mitigated by the desire to avoid regional destabilization and the unpredictable consequences of such a conflict.

The situation remains fluid, and any escalation in the region, particularly involving proxies or nuclear concerns, could rapidly change the likelihood of open conflict.


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Israel & Iran: What gets them at war?|ロックな村人 土岐泉