Employment in the future

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Hello, everyone. How are you today? It's Teacher Asuka.

Today, I'm going to talk about ' Employment in the future'.

In 2013, Dr. Michael Osborne from the Oxford University has announced the thesis ‘Future of Employment. The thesis concluded that about 47% of American workers will have lost their jobs in ten years after analyzing every category such as creativity, social intelligence or so of 702 jobs which is decided by the US Ministry of Labor. In this thesis, you can also find what jobs will disappear, its percentage and order of each disappearing jobs in the future.

This surprising result has related 'how jobs will be computerized' as the thesis's subtitle. Technology has highly developed for ten years.

Increasing computerized technology as well as Artificial Intelligence (AI) will change people's life rapidly as follows:

spreading of automatic operated vehicle will prevent taxi or

truck drivers from getting their jobs.

Various kinds of robots which can be reproduced and moved delicately like human's movement has developed and introduced in factories, which will prevent blue collar workers from their daily jobs as well.

Every routine work can be the works that can be　computerized or automated, so such jobs will have been replaced by robots or AI.

This is just an example, you know. 'We should face these kinds of fact in the nearest future', said Dr. Osborne.

So, what should we do?

He suggests that the jobs having originality or social intelligence will be unlikely to be automated, indicating predictive disappearing value of architect 1.8% and technical designer 3.8%. Because robots or AI are not good at suggesting or thinking creatively.

As above, we have got the point that we will face disappearing tasks which can be computerized, however, the tasks with non-routine, complex perception and creative intelligence tasks are unlikely substituted by computers. We need to choose such creative tasks in the future.


Finally, I’ll let you know that Dr. Osborne has announced that necessary skills in 2030 are as follows: Learning strategies, Psychology, Instructing, Social Perceptive, Sociology and Anthropology, Education and Training, Coordination, Originality, Fluency of Ideas, and Active Learning.


Thank you for joining as always.

See you next time!


Teacher Asuka