2024/6/4 投資ネタ

UG
#S upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord at 23
-プラットフォームは長期的には勝ち組でバリュエーションが魅力
#UPST upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Redburn Atlantic at 25.5
-経営環境が安定する
--マクロの逆風の鈍化/新商品/ファンディングが改善
#WMB , #DTM and #KMI ells upgrades three natural gas stocks on AI-driven demand
-AI/リショアリングによるガス需要の増加
-クリエネ/ガス共に需要が増加する見立て
--クリエネとの競争懸念がマルチプル拡大を阻害

DG
#SWK downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays at 86
-FY25まで売上が伸び悩む
--在庫調整がまだ必要/消費意欲も低い
-シェア奪還の為に投資用でマージンも伸びない

earnings
#BBWI Works Stock Drops After Earnings Beat. Here’s Why.
-(ビート)Q1売上・EPS
-(ミス)Q2EPSg/FY24EPSg(but raised)
-Q2売上g -2% to flat
#HPE scores a big revenue beat fueled by AI, and its stock rockets
-(ビート)Q2売上・EPS/FY24EPSg
-(ミス)Q3売上g・EPSg
-AI関連の収益がQoQで倍に
--ハイパースケーラーよりも企業向けの方がマージンが良い
-ネットワーク関連は弱く、マージン悪化。ボトムアウトは近い
#CRWD strong stock rally set to sustain following upbeat earnings
-(ビート)Q1売上・EPS・ARR/Q2 and FY25売上g・EPSg
-(ミス)Q1billing

個別株
#AAPL WWDC a 'key catalyst' for Apple, says Morgan Stanley
-iphone16に搭載するAIのプレビューを実施
#MSFT is reportedly LAYING OFF around 1,000 employees, including those working on the HoloLens 2 and Azure's ‘moonshots’ projects.
#TSLA saw a DECLINE in its China made EV sales, with 72,573 units sold in May, a DROP of -6.6% YoY
#QCOM price target raised to $235 from $200 at TD Cowen
-マネジメントミーティングがポジティブ
--携帯の半導体使用増/AI PCの機会/自動車堅調
#STX #WDC PT raised at Loop Capital
-サプライチェーンチェック
--販売価格が上昇開始、期を追うごとに裾野拡大
#INTC has launched its next-gen Xeon server processors and Gaudi 3 AI accelerator chips.
#STM has 'significant catch-up trade' coming, says JPMorgan
-他社状況からSTMのエンドマーケットもボトムアウトしているはず
--自動車が弱くても、資本財がオフセット可能
#CLSK #MARA #RIOT price target lowered to $12.50 from $15 at JPMorgan
-半減期後のBTC上昇幅が不十分
#AXP price target raised to $275 from $265 at Wells Fargo
-国際部門が米国同様の浸透率を持つようになる
#BAC price target raised to $37 from $35 at Piper Sandler
-NIIが予想よりも強くなる可能性
#ZS price target lowered to $220 from $260 at Canaccord
-長期的にシェアを拡大し続ける
#FSLR price target raised to $331 from $248 at Morgan Stanley
-販売価格の上昇でEPS上昇
--関税の変更に伴う最大の受益者
#KHC Argus looking for more favorable entry point in Kraft Heinz
-新商品への参入
vs
-トレードダウン/新商品への投資によるマージン悪化
#AX Hindenburg Research short 'priced-for-perfection' Axos Financial
#HOG on the verge of cutting shipment guidance, says UBS
-チャネルチェック:5月に入り小売向けの出荷が減少

マクロ・債券
(米国)
The Logistics Manager’s Index in the US jumped to 55.6 in May 2024, from a four-month low of 52.9 in April.
-価格が上昇
STIFEL ANALYSTS EXPECT S&P 500 CORRECTION, ANTICIPATE 10% DROP BY END OF Q3 2024
Biden expected to block migrants from asylum at US-Mexico border - Reuters
US REDBOOK YOY ACTUAL 5.8% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 6.3%)
US DURABLE GOODS REVISED ACTUAL 0.6% (FORECAST 0.7%, PREVIOUS 0.7%)
US JOLTS JOB OPENINGS ACTUAL 8.059M (FORECAST 8.35M, PREVIOUS 8.488M, REVISED 8.355M)
(欧州)
GERMAN UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE SA ACTUAL 25K (FORECAST 7K, PREVIOUS 10K)
ECB TO DEMAND MORE CRE LOAN PROVISIONS FROM SOME GERMAN BANKS.
(その他)
円上伸、対ドルで一時155円21銭-円安は幅広い影響と日銀副総裁
THE BOJ IS SAID TO MULL REDUCING BOND BUYS AS EARLY AS THE JUNE MEETING.
India shares plunge as Modi's likely weaker win causes policy worries - Reuters
インド総選挙、与党が単独過半数割れ-連合でモディ首相は続投の意向
コモ
US API CRUDE OIL STOCK CHANGE ACTUAL 4.052M (FORECAST -1.9M, PREVIOUS -6.49M)

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