2024/7/9 投資ネタ

UG
#GLW upgraded to Hold from Reduce at HSBC at 37
#BAC upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Piper Sandler at 42
-NIIはQ2でﾎﾞﾄﾑｱｳﾄ
#CHRW upgraded to Buy from Hold at Vertical Research
-ﾌﾗｲﾄｻｲｸﾙに柔軟に対応できる経営能力
-業界の統廃合の恩恵も受ける
#SLG upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at Scotiabank at 53
-NYのオフィスは問題ない
#LEN upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Wedbush at 144
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
--ﾏｰｼﾞﾝへの懸念は残ったまま
#CC upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝ
--FY25にTiO2の需要回復し、価格も上がる
DG
#PARA downgraded to Underperform at Wolfe Research after Skydance deal
-DTC向けの収益性に疑問

earnings

個別株
BP shares drop 3% after warning of up to $2 billion impairment, weak refining margins
#NKE has rehired Tom Peddie, who retired in 2020 after 30 years with the company, as VP of Marketplace Partners..
$ORCL - XAI ends server talks

TP関連
#AAPL price target raised to $225 from $190 at Piper Sandler
-ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝは以下織込済
-Apple AIと中国需要回復
#MSFT price target raised to $526 from $475 at Argus
-AIとｸﾗｳﾄﾞの恩恵継続
#NVDA KeyBanc Raises PT to $180 from $130
-旧ｻｰﾊﾞｰ需要は回復中/AI用は堅調
-GB200でFY25に200blnの売上達成可能
#QCOM price target raised to $225 from $205 at KeyBanc
-2025のGS25でｼｪｱ100%を回復し、1.6blnの売上増
-中国のAndroid需要鈍化/在庫積み上がりで携帯関連にﾘｽｸ有
#MU price target raised to $165 from $160 at KeyBanc
-HBM3eでｻﾑｽﾝ苦戦の恩恵
#AMD price target lowered to $220 from $230 at KeyBanc
-埋込半導体の需要が弱い
-在庫調整継続ﾘｽｸ
-MI300Xは見通し通りにお需要
#MRVL price target raised to $95 from $90 at KeyBanc
-ﾈｯﾄﾜｰｸの需要は強いまま
-ﾊｲﾊﾟｰｽｹｰﾗｰの投資増の恩恵も受ける
#ON price target lowered to $85 from $90 at KeyBanc
-自動車関連は弱い
--ﾁｬﾈﾙﾁｪｯｸ:弱い需要と在庫削減の必要
#CRUS price target raised to $155 from $120 at KeyBanc
-iPhone16の需要の恩恵
#GLW price target raised by several firms
-AI向け需要が強いQ2の売上を反映
-ｴｯｼﾞへの搭載量も増加で今後も成長可能
#NFLX price target raised to $775 from $725 at TD Cowen
-ﾍﾟｲﾄﾞｼｪｱﾘﾝｸﾞ/広告ﾃｨｱが堅調
#PEP Jefferies Lowers Price Target on PepsiCo to $200, Maintains Buy Rating
-ｽﾅｯｸ需要の鈍化
--販促増加
-値上げがｺﾛﾅ前の水準に戻らない
#CMG PT raised by several firms
-SSS見通し引き上げ
--2Qの客足も堅調
--ｶｰﾄﾞﾃﾞｰﾀも売上がｺﾝｾﾝｻｽ超を示唆
#DENN #MCD #QSR TP lowered by Truist
-ｶｰﾄﾞﾃﾞｰﾀがﾌｧｽﾄﾌｰﾄﾞの需要鈍化継続を示唆
--販促も貢献せず
#PSX price target lowered to $136 from $142 at Barclays
-原油価格差が逆風
-2次製品のﾏｰｼﾞﾝが弱い
#VMA #CFG #JPM preview by Keefe
-NIIとｸﾚｼﾞｯﾄが焦点
#AXP #DFS #SYF preview by Barc
-ｸﾚｼﾞｯﾄは想定通り
--ﾊﾞﾘｭｴｰｼｮﾝに改善が反映済
#XOM price target lowered to $142 from $147 at Barclays
-精製収益の低下を反映
-PXDの買収も減価償却が予想より高い
#EXPE price target raised to $140 from $137 at Wells Fargo
-2Hのﾌｧﾝﾀﾞﾒ改善
--ﾄﾗﾌｨｯｸの改善/RevPARの改善
#ABNB price target raised to $129 from $127 at Wells Fargo
-短期的には宿泊者数改善
-2025のﾏｰｼﾞﾝ悪化は続く
#BKNG price target raised to $3,497 from $3,494 at Wells Fargo
-宿泊者数が予想よりいい見込み
-Q3のﾃｲｸﾚｰﾄも好調見込み
#JBHT #NSC #UNP #ODFL #KNX #XPO preview at JPMorgan
-2Hの回復期待は見込み薄
--米国の選挙/関税/カナダ・東海岸での労使競争
#MLM #VMC preview at JPMorgan
-Q2の建設資材のﾏｸﾛは弱いまま
#ISRG price target raised to $490 from $435 at Piper Sandler
-DV5の需要は予想以上見込み
#COIN Reiterates Underperform Rating on Coinbase with $145 PT
-一日の平均取引量(ADTV)はMoMで悪化継続
-ﾏｰｹｯﾄｼｪｱ喪失

マクロ・債券
(米国)
US NFIB BUSINESS OPTIMISM INDEX ACTUAL 91.5 (FORECAST 90.2, PREVIOUS 90.50)
-雇用/CAPEXは横ばい
-景気見通しはﾈｶﾞﾃｨﾌﾞながら改善
-人手不足は継続で賃上げ傾向も高止まり
US REDBOOK YOY ACTUAL 6.3% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 5.8%)
(欧州)
フランスの衝撃、露呈した財政リスクの現実－今や欧州の弱者か
DUTCH CPI YOY ACTUAL 3.2% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 2.7%)
ＥＣＢ、サービスのインフレを過度に懸念すべきでない－伊中銀総裁
(その他)
香港ピーク地区の豪邸、売却希望価格３カ月で12％下げ－不況長引く
Taiwan June Exports y/y +23.5% (est +13.4%, last +3.5%)
コモ
中国のアルミナメーカーが増産、今年の急激な値上がりの後
Crude -1.9MM, Exp. -1.3MM
Gasoline -3.0MM
Distillate +2.3MM
Cushing -1.2MM