2024/7/3 投資ネタ

UG
なし

DG
Citigroup analyst Michael Rollins downgraded Charter Communications $CHTR to "Sell" from Neutral with a PT of $255

earnings
#STZ
〇:Q1EPS
×:Q1売上・beer depletion/FY25FCFg

個別株
#META lays out case for Meta shares over Alphabet
-企業/ｸﾘｴｰﾀｰ向けのAIﾂｰﾙが形になりつつある
-投資額もGOOGより大きく優位

TP関連
#TSLA delivery pace still implies 2024 downside, says Wells Fargo
-Q2納車台数はﾋﾞｰﾄも、FY24は不透明なまま
--1Hは1.66Mペースで、FY23対比-8%
#TSLA Bernstein does not see lower cost Tesla Model 2 arriving in volume before 2026
-値下げしない限り納車台数のYoYでの成長は無理
-Model 2は2026前にはできない
#TSLA price target raised to $260 from $220 at BofA
-Q2納車台数を反映、在庫も減少
-EV全体では微妙だが、TSLA/RIVNは問題無
#TSLA price target raised to $134 from $126 at Guggenheim
-Q2納車台数を反映
-決算はｴﾈﾙｷﾞｰｽﾄﾚｰｼﾞに依存
#TSLA deliveries declined for second straight quarter, says JPMorgan
-EV市場はYoYで拡大する中で、納車台数がYoYで悪化継続
#TSLA price target raised to $254 from $222 at Canaccord
-EM市場で出荷台数が伸びている
-ｴﾈﾙｷﾞｰｽﾄﾚｰｼﾞ需要が強い
#TSLA lower production signals 'inventory normalization', says Truist
-生産台数減は在庫縮小に貢献
#NKE price target lowered to $92 from $115 at Deutsche Bank
-FY24の売上見通し引下げに失望
-中国が弱い
-ﾗｲﾌｽﾀｲﾙ関連の在庫削減も当面重石
#GPC price target lowered to $150 from $165 at UBS
-Q2の経営は問題なし
-需要は弱いままで2Hの見通し引下げﾘｽｸ有
#MLM price target lowered to $630 from $650 at Stifel
-Q2の建設資材ｻｰﾍﾞｲの結果はmix
-天候がQ2の重石になる可能性
#MLM #VMC 建設資材 by Loop
-見通し引下げ
--天候要因/需要鈍化/ﾌﾟﾗｲｼﾝｸﾞ鈍化
#FSLR price target raised to $285 from $258 at Susquehanna
-Q2のASPは強いまま
--関税/規制の恩恵
-現在の不透明感、電気需要を考えると、工場建設によるｱｯﾌﾟｻｲﾄﾞ有
#LULU price target lowered to $470 from $505 at Baird
-ﾁｬﾈﾙﾁｪｯｸ:弱いまま/米の客足・購入共にダメ
-2Hの回復は見込める
#PII price target lowered to $95 from $100 at Baird
-小売向けはmix
-在庫は一段の縮小が必要
#CHRW price target raised to $88 from $80 at Baird
-ﾌｧﾝﾀﾞﾒは弱いままだが、ﾎﾞﾄﾑｱｳﾄ済
-EPSのﾐｽは今後減るはず
#GLW price target raised to $39 from $35 at Deutsche Bank
-売上はQ1でﾎﾞﾄﾑｱｳﾄ済
-光学関連の伸びが成長をけん引
#PEP price target lowered to $190 from $200 at TD Cowen
-米でのｽﾅｯｸ需要の低下は予想外
-FY24/25の売上見通しを引き下げ
#TJX price target raised to $125 from $115 at Loop Capital
-ﾁｬﾈﾙﾁｪｯｸ:ｸﾘｱﾗﾝｽが少なく、需要堅調
-ﾃﾞﾊﾟｰﾄ対比消費が堅調
#DOW #LYB #OLN #WLK 化学関連
-FY24/25の見通し引下げ
--高金利による消費/自動車生産/住宅・ｲﾝﾌﾗ需要減

マクロ・債券
(米国)
U.S. MBA mortgage applications declined -2.6%
US ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE ACTUAL 150K (FORECAST 165K, PREVIOUS 152K)
-賃金はstayer/changerともに小幅鈍化
US JOBLESS CLAIMS 238,000 IN JUNE 29 WEEK; EST. 235K
(欧州)
SPANISH SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 56.8 (FORECAST 56.4, PREVIOUS 56.9)
ITALIAN SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 53.7 (FORECAST 53.8, PREVIOUS 54.2)
ITALIAN COMPOSITE PMI ACTUAL 51.3 (FORECAST 51.5, PREVIOUS 52.3)
FRENCH SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 49.6 (FORECAST 48.8, PREVIOUS 48.8)
FRENCH COMPOSITE PMI ACTUAL 48.8 (FORECAST 48.2, PREVIOUS 48.2)
GERMAN SERVICES PMI FINAL ACTUAL 53.1 (FORECAST 53.5, PREVIOUS 53.5)
GERMAN COMPOSITE PMI FINAL ACTUAL 50.4 (FORECAST 50.6, PREVIOUS 50.6)
EUROZONE SERVICES PMI FINAL ACTUAL 52.8 (FORECAST 52.6, PREVIOUS 52.6)
EUROZONE COMPOSITE FINAL PMI ACTUAL 50.9 (FORECAST 50.8, PREVIOUS 50.8)
EUROZONE PPI YOY ACTUAL -4.2% (FORECAST -4.1%, PREVIOUS -5.7%)
(その他)
AUSTRALIAN RETAIL SALES MOM FINAL ACTUAL 0.6% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.1%)
AUSTRALIAN BUILDING APPROVALS ACTUAL 5.5% (FORECAST 1.6%, PREVIOUS -0.3%)
CHINESE CAIXIN SERVICES PMI ACTUAL 51.2 (FORECAST 53.4, PREVIOUS 54.0)
CHINA'S JUNE CAIXIN COMPOSITE PMI DROPS TO 52.8 FROM PREVIOUS MONTH'S 54.1
JAPAN'S RENGO: FINAL WAGE HIKE TALLY AT 5.10% VS 3.58% IN 2023, THE HIGHEST IN 33 YEARS.
Major #Chinese #property developers' spending on #land acquisitions slid 35.8% y/y in H1.